TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:38 PM EST
Kalshi
The Roma vs Cagliari Serie A match will determine if more than zero goals are scored within regular time, including stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalties.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified threshold of goals is exceeded in the Roma vs Cagliari Serie A game on Oct 27, 2026, counting goals scored during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, but not extra time or penalties. All markets are independent, and the outcome depends solely on the total goals scored meeting or exceeding the stated threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders, often converging towards probabilities that differ from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions among bettors and traders. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or late-breaking information that impacts the perceived probability of a specific result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information and shifts in sentiment. Traders aim to profit by identifying discrepancies between their own assessment of the probability and the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally in the Roma vs Cagliari match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league organizers. The total goals scored during regular play will determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract pays out. Any extra time or penalty shootouts are not considered for resolution purposes; only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any added time are counted.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late injury reports for key players on either Roma or Cagliari would likely cause significant movement, as would any changes in team formations or tactical approaches. Weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and goal-scoring opportunities. Unexpected news regarding team morale or managerial decisions could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable football experts could impact trader behavior and drive price fluctuations.