TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Roma will win its Serie A soccer game against Cagliari. Currently, Kalshi gives Roma a win probability of 85.0%, while a tie is at 13.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Roma vs Cagliari professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official match result. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match itself on October 27, 2026, as that will begin the 90-minute window determining the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on the result of the Roma vs Cagliari Serie A soccer match scheduled for Oct 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Roma wins, the 'Roma' market resolves to Yes. If Cagliari wins, the 'Cagliari' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often incorporating information not readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows for real-time adjustments as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on factors like player injuries, team morale, or even weather conditions. It’s common to see prediction markets offer a more nuanced view, especially closer to the event, as traders react to breaking news and updates.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a highly liquid and efficient market, where information is quickly incorporated into the odds. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roma vs Cagliari match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and fulfill all contracts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Roma or Cagliari would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team formations or managerial decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, especially if they are significantly different from forecasts, could influence the perceived advantage of either team. Even public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the match can contribute to movement in the market as traders react to new information.