TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Arthur Fery
all
4 markets
Predict
Polymarket
Opinion
Limitless
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 9, 2026
Time left: 14h:37m:02s
$
This prediction group concerns the upcoming tennis match between Quentin Halys and Arthur Fery in the Rolex Paris Masters. The markets ask for a prediction on who will win the match, as well as various set-based and game-based outcomes.
This market refers to the tennis match between Quentin Halys and Arthur Fery in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Arthur Fery. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Quentin Halys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Quentin Halys and Arthur Fery in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Arthur Fery. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Quentin Halys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Quentin Halys and Arthur Fery in the ATP Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 09:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Arthur Fery. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Quentin Halys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-11-03 10:00 UTC: if Quentin Halys wins the match, this market resolves to "Quentin Halys"; if A. Fery wins, it resolves to "A. Fery". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often reflect a more nuanced view than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin and may be influenced by public betting patterns, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring, as determined by informed traders. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate forecasts, especially when significant information isn't widely available. The collective intelligence of the crowd often corrects biases present in traditional odds-setting.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Opinion can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk appetite, leading to differing valuations. For example, Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders who are quicker to incorporate new information, while Opinion may have a broader audience with varying levels of expertise. Furthermore, trading limits and platform-specific fees can influence price discovery. These differences in market structure and participant behavior can result in varied probabilities for the Halys vs Fery match.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Halys vs Fery match, as officially recorded by tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome will be eligible for payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several events could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights could shift the odds. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the Rolex Paris Masters, affecting player momentum or confidence, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume on either Polymarket or Opinion – perhaps driven by a large bet from an informed trader – could create a cascade effect, moving the market in a specific direction. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves.