TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Mattia Bellucci in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Mattia Bellucci. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Mattia Bellucci in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Mattia Bellucci. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aggregating information and analysis from a diverse range of sources. This can sometimes lead to differences compared to sportsbook odds, which may be more influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. While sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk assessment, this market allows traders to weigh in with their own insights. Significant discrepancies can sometimes emerge, particularly when new information becomes available or when public sentiment shifts dramatically regarding the likely outcome of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived chances of each player winning, influenced by factors like recent performance, injury reports, and head-to-head records. The current volume suggests strong interest in this qualifying round matchup.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Thiago Agustin Tirante versus Mattia Bellucci qualifying match at the Rolex Paris Masters. The player who wins the match will be declared the winner of this market. Any potential delays or cancellations of the match may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will always be determined by the official tournament results as reported by recognized sports authorities.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding player injuries or illness for either Thiago Agustin Tirante or Mattia Bellucci would certainly be a significant catalyst. Updates on their recent form, including results from previous matches, could also shift trader sentiment. Even minor news, like changes in coaching staff or playing conditions, could have an impact. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could move the market as traders adjust their positions based on new information.