TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Jaume Munar in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Jaume Munar. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Munar' if Jaume Munar advances against Lorenzo Sonego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Jaume Munar in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Jaume Munar. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Munar' if Jaume Munar advances against Lorenzo Sonego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability from this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing expert opinions or information not yet fully reflected in the sportsbook lines. It’s a good practice to compare both to gain a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing creates a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sonego vs Munar match as reported by the tournament organizers. It’s important to note that the platform relies on publicly available information to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses to understand how the outcome will be determined.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Sonego or Munar, or changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather) could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches within the Rolex Paris Masters tournament could also affect perceptions of player momentum. Finally, significant betting activity or analysis from respected tennis commentators could also contribute to price movements in this market as traders react to new information.