TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Vit Kopriva in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Vit Kopriva. This market will resolve to 'Vit Kopriva' if Vit Kopriva advances against Hugo Gaston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Vit Kopriva in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Vit Kopriva. This market will resolve to 'Vit Kopriva' if Vit Kopriva advances against Hugo Gaston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, while this market represents the collective belief of traders who have skin in the game. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses of player form, injury reports, or even subtle factors not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities as the event approaches, especially when significant volume builds up.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Gaston vs Kopriva match.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Gaston vs Kopriva match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by tournament organizers. The winner of the match, as officially recorded, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the outcome is confirmed on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player fitness, such as a late injury to either Hugo Gaston or Vit Kopriva, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in surface conditions or weather forecasts could also affect perceived player advantages. Unexpected results in other matches within the qualifying rounds might shift overall expectations and influence traders' assessments. Even social media sentiment and expert analysis could contribute to movements in the market price before Nov 7, 2026.