TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 7:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Lorenzo Musetti will advance against Hubert Hurkacz in their Rolex Paris Masters tennis match, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to a completed match between Lorenzo Musetti and Hubert Hurkacz, with resolution based on scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the official ATP Tour schedule, as the outcome hinges on the match being completed by the resolution date of November 9, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Hubert Hurkacz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Lorenzo Musetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, as they incorporate a broader range of perspectives than a sportsbook's initial assessment. Comparing these odds can reveal where the market finds value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to incorporate new information and changing perspectives. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of the participants, offering a unique perspective on the potential result of the Musetti vs Hurkacz match.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Musetti vs Hurkacz match as reported by official tournament sources. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settlement on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Nov 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analyses from tennis experts could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from the players themselves, could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations, causing the price to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.