TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Arthur Gea in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Arthur Gea. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Arthur Gea in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Arthur Gea. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, theoretically resulting in more accurate probabilities, though market-specific factors can influence this. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in how each entity assesses the likelihood of a particular result in the Struff vs Gea match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Struff vs Gea match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential results. The current top outcome has a chance percentage of 100.0% as determined by the trading activity on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Struff vs Gea match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated match analyses from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier matches leading up to the Struff vs Gea match could also impact the odds. Significant volume spikes, driven by new information or large trades, are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.