TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Rohda Raalte and GVVV, scheduled for October 3, 2026. The resolution depends solely on which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends in a tie, a separate market addresses that scenario.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Rohda Raalte vs GVVV professional Tweede Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Rohda Raalte, a win for GVVV, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within the defined timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to 'Yes.' Should the game end in a tie under the same conditions, the 'Tie' market will resolve to 'Yes.' In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants based on the prevailing circumstances at the time of the change.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like house bias or marketing strategies. This market, driven by individual traders’ beliefs, can sometimes offer a more accurate forecast, especially as the event approaches and more information emerges. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of it happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing traders to express their views and collectively determine the probabilities associated with each result of the Rohda Raalte vs GVVV match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Rohda Raalte vs GVVV match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Rohda Raalte or GVVV would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, or news regarding team tactics or morale, could introduce volatility and lead to price adjustments within this market.