TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Roda and Jong Eindhoven. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will resolve based on whether Roda wins, Jong Eindhoven wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Roda vs Jong Eindhoven professional Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Roda win, Jong Eindhoven win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly considers results within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of prediction markets responding to new developments. It’s common to see convergence as the event nears, but significant differences can still exist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Roda vs Jong Eindhoven match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence. The goal is to create a market where the prices accurately forecast the eventual result. Traders aim to profit by identifying discrepancies between their own predictions and the market's price.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roda vs Jong Eindhoven match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will determine the winning contract based on this official result. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The entire process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds for this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions, if relevant to the match, could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage can influence trader behavior. Major upsets in related matches or broader sporting events might also indirectly affect this market. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential price movements before Oct 9, 2026.