TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$152,239,259
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2,540,891,627
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,622,981,384
471,589
Markets across
36,389
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 8:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Peter Malnati will lead at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Rocket Classic on Kalshi, with resolution based on official tournament results. The current probability that Malnati will hold the lead is 88.0%, while the chance Kevin Roy leads is 3.1%. Watch for the conclusion of Round 1 play on August 16, 2026, as this will determine the market outcome.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified golfer finishes as the outright leader after Round 1 of the 2026 Rocket Classic. If multiple participants share the top position, "Yes" bets receive a prorated payout of $1 divided by the number of tied leaders (rounded down to the nearest cent), while "No" bets pay the complement to 1 of that amount. The markets are independent for each golfer listed, with no cross-market interactions affecting resolution. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the PGA or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and liquidity levels. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting trends and expert analysis, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their insights. This can create tighter or more volatile pricing, especially as new information emerges during the event. Comparing the two offers a view into how crowd-sourced forecasts stack up against established sportsbook odds.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The leader after the first round will be determined by official tournament scores released at the conclusion of Round 1 play. As soon as the results are publicly confirmed, the market will close and settle based on the verified leaderboard, finalizing the winning position for all participants on Kalshi.
Key signals that could shift this market include practice round performances, weather updates affecting course conditions, and any last-minute changes in golfer lineups or injury reports. Major developments—such as a top-ranked player posting strong practice scores or unexpected setbacks for favorites—may cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities. Real-time news and pre-tournament betting trends will also heavily influence market movement leading up to Aug 16, 2026.