TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Doncaster
- Kalshi
Doncaster - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 18h:15m:16s
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This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Rochdale and Doncaster. The focus is solely on determining whether Rochdale, Doncaster, or neither (a tie) wins within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result is based purely on the final score at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Rochdale vs Doncaster professional EFL Trophy soccer match scheduled for November 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the respective team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The resolution excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. These differences can be due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Rochdale vs Doncaster match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a self-correcting mechanism that aims to converge on the true probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Rochdale vs Doncaster match, as officially recorded by the governing football league, will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the official results as they become available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and betting patterns observed elsewhere could influence trading activity on Kalshi. Even seemingly minor developments, like pre-match interviews or tactical announcements, could trigger price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.