TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the first half in an upcoming college football game between Robert Morris and Morgan State. It determines which team will lead at halftime or if the half will end in a tie. The result reflects only the scoring performance during the first two quarters of play.
If Morgan St. wins the 1st half of the Robert Morris vs Morgan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert Morris wins the 1st half of the Robert Morris vs Morgan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the Robert Morris vs Morgan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each team winning the first half. If a significant number of people believe a team is more likely to win than the sportsbook implies, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large amount of volume is traded, as this market is driven by informed speculation and evolving information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome—either Robert Morris winning the first half or Morgan State winning. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the first half winner. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, providing insight into the current supply and demand for each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first half result of the Robert Morris vs Morgan State game will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission, while those holding the losing contract will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Robert Morris or Morgan State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants can create short-term price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role, though this market is primarily driven by the collective judgment of traders on Kalshi.