TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the result of a college football game between Robert Morris and Morgan State. The outcome depends on which team wins the contest scheduled for October 10, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume accumulates. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price differences between the two types of markets. Examining these differences can also provide insight into public perception versus expert analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts that pay out $1 if the outcome matches their prediction, and $0 otherwise. The current price of a contract represents the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure will raise the price, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This creates a fluid and responsive market that reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Robert Morris vs Morgan State game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted source covering college basketball. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their losing positions based on the final outcome. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Robert Morris or Morgan State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.