TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:23 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Pro A game, scheduled for October 25 at 11:00AM ET: If the Roanne win, the market will resolve to "Roanne". If the Paris Basketball win, the market will resolve to "Paris Basketball". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming Pro A game, scheduled for October 25 at 11:00AM ET: If the Roanne win, the market will resolve to "Roanne". If the Paris Basketball win, the market will resolve to "Paris Basketball". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take the opposite position, driving the price on Polymarket in a different direction. These differences can arise from varying information sources or differing interpretations of the same data, offering a unique perspective on the event's probability.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the French basketball game. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the game gets, the more the price will likely reflect new information and changing expectations. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, which influences the market price and provides insight into collective predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roanne versus Paris Basketball game, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even weather conditions if the game is outdoors, could also shift market sentiment. Major announcements related to team strategy or player availability are likely to cause price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information. Public opinion and expert analysis may also play a role in influencing trading activity.