TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Blanchet and Tom Paris in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Blanchet' if Ugo Blanchet advances against Tom Paris. This market will resolve to 'Tom Paris' if Tom Paris advances against Ugo Blanchet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Blanchet and Tom Paris in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Blanchet' if Ugo Blanchet advances against Tom Paris. This market will resolve to 'Tom Paris' if Tom Paris advances against Ugo Blanchet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, as traders can instantly adjust their positions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific player, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their victory. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic process ensures that the market price constantly adapts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roanne tennis match between Ugo Blanchet and Tom Paris. The player who wins the match will be declared the winner of this market. Any potential delays or disputes regarding the official result will be addressed based on commonly accepted tennis officiating standards and publicly available information.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match concludes. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as court surface or weather), or even updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or personal matters affecting either player could also cause movement. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected by expert analysis or betting trends, could impact the price of shares in this market, leading to volatility until the final result is known.