TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Blanchet and Nicolas Tepmahc in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Blanchet' if Ugo Blanchet advances against Nicolas Tepmahc. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Tepmahc' if Nicolas Tepmahc advances against Ugo Blanchet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Blanchet and Nicolas Tepmahc in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Blanchet' if Ugo Blanchet advances against Nicolas Tepmahc. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Tepmahc' if Nicolas Tepmahc advances against Ugo Blanchet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a large number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest in an event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. The current price reflects the aggregated judgment of all participants on Polymarket regarding the likely winner of the Roanne tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roanne tennis match between Ugo Blanchet and Nicolas Tepmahc. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create momentum and cause the market to move. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.