TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Paris and Yanis Ghazouani Durand in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Paris' if Tom Paris advances against Yanis Ghazouani Durand. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Ghazouani Durand' if Yanis Ghazouani Durand advances against Tom Paris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Paris and Yanis Ghazouani Durand in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Paris' if Tom Paris advances against Yanis Ghazouani Durand. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Ghazouani Durand' if Yanis Ghazouani Durand advances against Tom Paris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Paris vs Ghazouani Durand match, the prediction market may show a different probability. These discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders to capitalize on perceived mispricings, though it’s important to note that both can be inaccurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Paris vs Ghazouani Durand match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Paris vs Ghazouani Durand match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the official result declared by the governing body of the event. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winner, and the subsequent payout of shares to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will officially close and settle.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries to either Tom Paris or Yanis Ghazouani Durand would likely impact the odds. Changes in player form, announced tactical approaches, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could also cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected news or controversies surrounding either player could also influence the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions regarding the Paris vs Ghazouani Durand match.