TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg and Liam Broady in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg' if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg advances against Liam Broady. This market will resolve to 'Liam Broady' if Liam Broady advances against Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg and Liam Broady in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg' if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg advances against Liam Broady. This market will resolve to 'Liam Broady' if Liam Broady advances against Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can highlight areas where the market anticipates a different outcome than conventional wisdom suggests, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s efficiency stems from the incentive structure, encouraging traders to accurately assess probabilities to profit from correctly predicting the event’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Roanne: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Liam Broady match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg or Liam Broady, would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather conditions at the match location, or even tactical adjustments announced by either player’s coach, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players leading up to the event, or even general shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to movement in this market before Oct 19, 2026.