TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 12:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg and Clement Tabur in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg' if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg advances against Clement Tabur. This market will resolve to 'Clement Tabur' if Clement Tabur advances against Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg and Clement Tabur in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg' if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg advances against Clement Tabur. This market will resolve to 'Clement Tabur' if Clement Tabur advances against Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbook odds in response to breaking news or changing sentiment regarding the Roanne tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system that constantly adjusts based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the Roanne tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roanne tennis match between Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg and Clement Tabur. The platform will verify the winner based on widely available and trusted sources that report on professional tennis results. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could impact predictions. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price changes. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before Oct 21, 2026.