TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Norbert Gombos and Robin Catry in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:50AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Norbert Gombos' if Norbert Gombos advances against Robin Catry. This market will resolve to 'Robin Catry' if Robin Catry advances against Norbert Gombos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Norbert Gombos and Robin Catry in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:50AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Norbert Gombos' if Norbert Gombos advances against Robin Catry. This market will resolve to 'Robin Catry' if Robin Catry advances against Norbert Gombos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when subjective factors or less-publicly available information are considered important. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of an outcome for the Gombos vs Catry match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of a particular result in the Gombos vs Catry match. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time evaluation of expectations as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Roanne tennis match between Norbert Gombos and Robin Catry. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface adjustments), or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to the event, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the Gombos vs Catry match is crucial for informed trading decisions.