TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Norbert Gombos and Mickael Kaouk in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Norbert Gombos' if Norbert Gombos advances against Mickael Kaouk. This market will resolve to 'Mickael Kaouk' if Mickael Kaouk advances against Norbert Gombos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Norbert Gombos and Mickael Kaouk in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Norbert Gombos' if Norbert Gombos advances against Mickael Kaouk. This market will resolve to 'Mickael Kaouk' if Mickael Kaouk advances against Norbert Gombos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. Comparing these odds can reveal where the crowd believes there is value or mispricing relative to conventional wisdom.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roanne match between Norbert Gombos and Mickael Kaouk, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in form for either Norbert Gombos or Mickael Kaouk could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, leading to price adjustments and shifts in perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding the market's dynamics.