TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Moise Kouame and Diego Dedura-Palomero in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moise Kouame' if Moise Kouame advances against Diego Dedura-Palomero. This market will resolve to 'Diego Dedura-Palomero' if Diego Dedura-Palomero advances against Moise Kouame. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Moise Kouame and Diego Dedura-Palomero in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moise Kouame' if Moise Kouame advances against Diego Dedura-Palomero. This market will resolve to 'Diego Dedura-Palomero' if Diego Dedura-Palomero advances against Moise Kouame. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and differing incentives. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, factoring in a margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking, incorporating new information as it becomes available, potentially leading to faster adjustments than sportsbook odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price dynamically adjusts, reflecting the collective forecast. This creates a market-driven probability assessment for the Kouame vs Dedura-Palomero match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kouame vs Dedura-Palomero match as reported by the governing sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the final determination.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and social media, can also play a role, especially if it indicates a change in expectations. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in market consensus, causing the odds to move accordingly.