TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxime Janvier and Daniel de Jonge in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxime Janvier' if Maxime Janvier advances against Daniel de Jonge. This market will resolve to 'Daniel de Jonge' if Daniel de Jonge advances against Maxime Janvier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxime Janvier and Daniel de Jonge in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxime Janvier' if Maxime Janvier advances against Daniel de Jonge. This market will resolve to 'Daniel de Jonge' if Daniel de Jonge advances against Maxime Janvier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market allows participants to directly assess the probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments related to the Janvier vs de Jonge match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Janvier vs de Jonge match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Polymarket once the outcome is officially determined. The platform relies on publicly available information to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process for all participants in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches for either Maxime Janvier or Daniel de Jonge could influence trader sentiment. Major announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the likely outcome of the Janvier vs de Jonge match may shift the market’s probabilities as traders react to the new information.