TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Poullain and Gijs Brouwer in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Poullain' if Lucas Poullain advances against Gijs Brouwer. This market will resolve to 'Gijs Brouwer' if Gijs Brouwer advances against Lucas Poullain. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Poullain and Gijs Brouwer in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Poullain' if Lucas Poullain advances against Gijs Brouwer. This market will resolve to 'Gijs Brouwer' if Gijs Brouwer advances against Lucas Poullain. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often incorporating information and analysis not immediately available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that differ from those found at sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market responding to new data. It’s important to compare odds from various sources to make informed decisions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Poullain vs Brouwer match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in a particular result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of traders, adjusting as new information becomes available. This creates a dynamic and responsive price discovery process, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roanne tennis match between Lucas Poullain and Gijs Brouwer. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all lead to price movements. Unexpected announcements about either player’s form or strategy could also impact trading volume and probabilities. Any updates from reputable sports news outlets or official tournament sources are likely to be quickly reflected in the market price as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information.