TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Roanne: Jakub Paul vs Niels McDonald
polymarket

Who will win Roanne: Jakub Paul vs Niels McDonald?

Volume:
$33,322

Roanne: Jakub Paul vs Niels McDonald

 - Polymarket

Roanne: Jakub Paul vs Niels McDonald - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 2:09 PM EST

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Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Ends in
Result
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Roanne: Jakub Paul vs Niels McDonald

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33,322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 2

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Paul and Niels McDonald in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Paul' if Jakub Paul advances against Niels McDonald. This market will resolve to 'Niels McDonald' if Niels McDonald advances against Jakub Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Paul and Niels McDonald in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Paul' if Jakub Paul advances against Niels McDonald. This market will resolve to 'Niels McDonald' if Niels McDonald advances against Jakub Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Jakub Paul vs Niels McDonald match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell shares. Currently, the total volume for this market is $33,315, with $33,315 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of how the crowd is assessing the likelihood of each player winning this Roanne match.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. However, it's important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Polymarket.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jakub Paul vs Niels McDonald match in Roanne, France. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event's progress and the eventual resolution of this market.

Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily impact the price, though the market generally self-corrects as more information becomes available and more traders participate.