TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 4:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Benjamin Bonzi in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Benjamin Bonzi. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Hugo Grenier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Benjamin Bonzi in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Benjamin Bonzi. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Hugo Grenier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the mispricing. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or changing circumstances surrounding the Grenier vs Bonzi match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are bought for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. Conversely, selling shares lowers the price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and potentially profit if their predictions are accurate. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Grenier vs Bonzi match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the final score and declare a winner, triggering the payout of shares to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the event is unfolding and how it may affect this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create momentum and shift the odds. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential catalysts for movement in this market.