TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Daniel Jade in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Daniel Jade. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Jade' if Daniel Jade advances against Hugo Gaston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Daniel Jade in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Daniel Jade. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Jade' if Daniel Jade advances against Hugo Gaston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can buy into the market, driving up the price and potentially creating arbitrage opportunities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and public opinion shifts leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the perceived likelihood of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's result. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roanne tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Daniel Jade. The platform will verify the winner through official sources, and the market will settle accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand when the result is finalized and the market is settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential market movements before Oct 19, 2026.