TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 8:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Henry Bernet and Thijs Boogaard in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henry Bernet' if Henry Bernet advances against Thijs Boogaard. This market will resolve to 'Thijs Boogaard' if Thijs Boogaard advances against Henry Bernet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Henry Bernet and Thijs Boogaard in the Roanne, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henry Bernet' if Henry Bernet advances against Thijs Boogaard. This market will resolve to 'Thijs Boogaard' if Thijs Boogaard advances against Henry Bernet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the outcome of the Bernet vs Boogaard match, the prediction market odds may diverge, presenting potential value for astute participants. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Bernet vs Boogaard match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards what the crowd believes is the true probability of each outcome. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on the platform, offering a real-time view of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Bernet vs Boogaard match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the match, as officially declared by the governing body of the sport, will determine the settlement of this market. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the final result and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event’s progress and resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or potential tactical adjustments could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants or shifts in broader public opinion surrounding the Bernet vs Boogaard match could all contribute to volatility in the market.