TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Balshaw and Mika Brunold in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Mika Brunold. This market will resolve to 'Mika Brunold' if Mika Brunold advances against Felix Balshaw. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Balshaw and Mika Brunold in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Mika Brunold. This market will resolve to 'Mika Brunold' if Mika Brunold advances against Felix Balshaw. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely trading and expressing their beliefs. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there is significant public interest and information available. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing assumptions and risk appetites. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Balshaw-Brunold match. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roanne: Felix Balshaw vs Mika Brunold match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets. It’s important to note that the resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact the market. Furthermore, public opinion and media coverage surrounding the Balshaw-Brunold match can play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Major upsets in related matches could also indirectly affect this market.