TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 6:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Balshaw and Matisse Bobichon in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Matisse Bobichon. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Felix Balshaw. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Balshaw and Matisse Bobichon in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Matisse Bobichon. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Felix Balshaw. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own analysis and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, constantly adjusting to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Balshaw-Bobichon match. The current volume traded provides insight into the market’s confidence.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roanne match between Felix Balshaw and Matisse Bobichon. The platform will verify the winner through established sports reporting sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor news and official announcements leading up to this date to stay informed about any potential factors influencing the result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or recent performance would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements about playing conditions or changes to the match schedule could also impact prices. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, even if it doesn’t directly relate to objective factors. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments could also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities in this market, leading to increased volume and price fluctuations.