TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 1:44 PM EST
Kalshi
In the opening game of their League of Legends series, Rising Bees and Mental Rush will battle to establish early momentum. The market outcome is determined solely by the result of this first game.
The market resolves based on the winner of game 1 in the specified League of Legends match. If the match or relevant map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, player injuries, or even external factors not fully accounted for by traditional bookmakers. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value, and whether the market is anticipating events differently than conventional wisdom suggests.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the Rising Bees winning game 1. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% probability. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of game 1 between the Rising Bees and Mental Rush. The platform will verify the winner through widely available and trusted sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders holding a 'yes' contract will receive a payout if the Rising Bees win, while those holding a 'no' contract will receive a payout if Mental Rush wins.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or changes in team lineups for either the Rising Bees or Mental Rush would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or changes in game location could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader sporting news or even public opinion shifts could play a role, as traders continually reassess the probabilities based on the latest information available. A strong performance by either team in a preceding match could also shift expectations.