TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 3:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an esports match between two teams competing in a professional League of Legends tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the scheduled match. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will adjust the market according to predefined fairness conditions.
If Rising Bees wins the LGC Rising 2026: Rising Bees vs. Mental Rush League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mental Rush wins the LGC Rising 2026: Rising Bees vs. Mental Rush League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Often, prediction markets aggregate information from a wider range of sources, including expert analysis and public sentiment, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and liability management, which may differ from the dynamics observed in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Rising Bees versus Mental Rush matchup. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Rising Bees versus Mental Rush esports match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the event organizers. The market will settle to 100 for the winning team and 0 for the losing team. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 27, 2026. News regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either the Rising Bees or Mental Rush could all significantly impact prices. Major upsets in other esports tournaments involving these teams, or even broader shifts in public sentiment regarding their chances, could also drive movement. Finally, any announcements related to the match schedule, venue, or format have the potential to shift the probabilities reflected in this market.