TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:08 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Rio Ave FC and FC Famalicão, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rio Ave FC" if Rio Ave FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Famalicão" if FC Famalicão are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Rio Ave FC and FC Famalicão, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rio Ave FC" if Rio Ave FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Famalicão" if FC Famalicão are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of either Rio Ave or Famalicão scoring first. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing opinions among bettors and prediction market participants. It's common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Rio Ave or Famalicão will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each team scoring first, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast. The current price indicates the market's expectation, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Rio Ave or Famalicão—scored the first goal in the match. Official match reports and data from reputable sports news sources will be used to verify the result. The market will settle to 100% in favor of the team that scored first, or 0% if no goal is scored during regulation time (which is not a typical outcome in football, but is accounted for).
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Rio Ave or Famalicão would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of wins or losses, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, or tactical announcements from the managers, could introduce new information and lead to price adjustments. Any unexpected developments leading up to the kickoff have the potential to move this market.