TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between Rio Ave FC and CD Nacional, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Rio Ave FC vs. CD Nacional match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between Rio Ave FC and CD Nacional, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Rio Ave FC vs. CD Nacional match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals predicting the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes demonstrate superior forecasting accuracy compared to traditional odds.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Rio Ave FC vs. CD Nacional match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sporting authority. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is confirmed and the market is settled on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, shifts in public opinion or analysis from sports commentators could drive trading activity and alter the market prices. A surprising result in a related match involving either team could also cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their forecasts.