TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 4:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional KNVB soccer match between Rijnsburgse and Den Bosch, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends entirely on the match's final score at the end of regulation play.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Rijnsburgse vs Den Bosch professional KNVB soccer game scheduled for October 27, 2026, strictly after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: a win for Rijnsburgse, a win for Den Bosch, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regulation time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In cases where the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The markets exclusively address regulation time results and explicitly exclude any post-regulation resolutions such as extra time or penalties.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their predictions. If a large number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift to reflect that belief. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of probabilities, providing potential opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast of the event's outcome. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on any discrepancies between their beliefs and the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by the official result of the regulation time moneyline for the Rijnsburgse vs Den Bosch match. The platform will verify the outcome against reliable sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Also, shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by betting patterns or expert analysis, will impact the market. Even weather conditions on the day of the match could play a role, influencing the perceived advantage of either team. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities and adjust their positions accordingly.