TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a soccer match between Rijnsburgse and Den Bosch in the first round of the KNVB tournament. It reflects which team progresses following their head-to-head contest. The result is determined solely by the match's advancement outcome, without broader tournament implications.
The event determines which team advances from the Rijnsburgse vs Den Bosch soccer tie in the 1st Round of the KNVB. If Rijnsburgse progresses past Den Bosch, the 'Rijnsburgse advances' outcome resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Den Bosch advances past Rijnsburgse, the 'Den Bosch advances' outcome resolves to Yes. References to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are strictly descriptive and imply no endorsement or affiliation between FIFA and the platform hosting this market.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to note that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Rijnsburgse vs Den Bosch match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders place orders, creating a real-time assessment of potential results. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rijnsburgse vs Den Bosch match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available information to determine which outcome corresponds to the final score. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could sway traders' opinions. Major upsets in related matches or broader league standings could also contribute to movement in this market, as traders reassess the likelihood of different outcomes.