TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out. The collective markets provide a detailed spectrum of possible outcomes for the game's final score difference.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Richmond vs Fordham college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For markets predicting Richmond victories, resolution occurs if Richmond's winning margin exceeds the specified threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 33.5 points). For markets predicting Fordham victories, resolution occurs if Fordham's winning margin exceeds the specified threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 14.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, reflecting the most probable outcome given available information at that time. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all team names, logos, and trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis faster than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models, this market allows a broader range of participants to influence pricing. You may find that the odds here differ from those offered by sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more competitive pricing, especially when there's significant public interest in an event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction process, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Richmond vs Fordham spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective predictions of the participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will converge towards what the market believes is the most probable outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Richmond vs Fordham game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the game, ensuring an objective and accurate determination. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who bet against the outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 10, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team performance or public sentiment shifts expressed through social media could also contribute to price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal emerging insights and drive the market in a particular direction.