TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Rice and Florida Atlantic. Outcomes are determined solely by the score difference at halftime, with various thresholds defining different market resolutions.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential in the first half of the Rice vs Florida Atlantic college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For markets where Florida Atlantic is the favorite, resolution occurs if Florida Atlantic leads by more than the specified margin at halftime. Conversely, for markets where Rice is the favorite, resolution occurs if Rice leads by more than the specified margin at halftime. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official halftime result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning no party will have an unfair advantage due to unforeseen scheduling changes. The outcome depends strictly on first-half performance, with no consideration given to the final full-game result.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume accumulates. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between this market and sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a market-driven assessment of the likely outcome of the Rice vs Florida Atlantic first-half spread.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first-half spread of the Rice vs Florida Atlantic game as determined by official game statistics. The final price of contracts in this market will reflect the actual spread, allowing traders to realize their profits or losses based on their initial predictions. This provides a clear and objective outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Rice or Florida Atlantic teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. As the game approaches, even the release of starting lineups can cause fluctuations in this market.