TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the college football game between Rice and Florida Atlantic, scheduled for October 23, 2026. The result depends on which team achieves a victory in the match.
The market resolves to Yes if either Rice or Florida Atlantic wins the game as scheduled on October 23, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market sometimes showing different probabilities for an outcome than traditional sportsbooks. Polls and analysts’ predictions also frequently diverge from both, as they represent opinions rather than financial stakes. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially outpacing the adjustments made by sportsbooks or public opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market deems a fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Rice vs Florida Atlantic game will be used to determine the winning contract. The market will then settle, and contract holders will receive payouts based on the final outcome. This process ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution based on the actual event results. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team dynamics or player availability would likely cause price fluctuations. Public perception, as reflected in news coverage and social media, can also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other games involving these teams or their conference could also indirectly affect this market, as could any significant shifts in betting trends.