TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
For the USL Championship contest between Rhode Island FC and Pittsburgh, this event will confirm if each team scores at least one goal within the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with the exclusion of extra time and penalty phases.
If Rhode Island FC and Pittsburgh both score a goal in the Rhode Island FC vs Pittsburgh USL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, leading to potentially more efficient pricing. While sportsbooks may initially offer odds influenced by public perception or team reputations, this market can adjust rapidly as new information and analysis emerge, potentially offering a different perspective on the likelihood of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Rhode Island FC vs Pittsburgh match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its assessment of the event's probability.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether both Rhode Island FC and Pittsburgh score at least one goal during the match. Official match data from recognized sports authorities will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and that information will be used to settle the market. The final result will be a simple yes or no – did both teams score, or didn't they?
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Rhode Island FC or Pittsburgh would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches released by the coaches could shift trader sentiment. Finally, even public perception and betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could indirectly influence trading activity on Kalshi.