TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Rhode Island FC and Pittsburgh in the USL Championship. The market focuses on determining whether either team wins after the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or if the game ends in a tie. The result is based solely on the final score at the end of regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Rhode Island FC vs Pittsburgh professional USL Championship soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Rhode Island FC or Pittsburgh wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or if the match ends in a tie. The market does not consider extra time or penalty shootouts in determining the outcome. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The markets are independent of the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability of an outcome as assessed by traders. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information access, and market dynamics. It's common to see prediction market odds align with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, especially if there is significant agreement among bettors and analysts. Examining these differences can offer insights into where the 'wisdom of the crowd' diverges from professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions. A higher volume generally suggests greater agreement and liquidity, while price fluctuations signal uncertainty or new developments impacting the perceived likelihood of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Rhode Island FC vs Pittsburgh match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can impact the market. Even seemingly minor developments, such as a key player's pre-match comments, could trigger price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.