TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:36 PM EST
Kalshi
A soccer match between Rhode Island FC and Loudoun United FC will take place, and the total number of goals scored will determine the resolution of several outcome-based markets.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Rhode Island FC versus Loudoun United FC USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, all markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbook odds reflect the collective wisdom of bettors, but they arrive at probabilities through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. This market, on Kalshi, is driven by individuals directly trading on their beliefs about the outcome, creating a more fluid and potentially more accurate reflection of overall expectations. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in how each system processes data. It’s often useful to compare the two to identify potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Rhode Island FC vs Loudoun United FC match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result. The current market price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a specific outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Rhode Island FC vs Loudoun United FC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout as determined by the market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Rhode Island FC or Loudoun United FC would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Additionally, updates on team form, tactical changes, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sources could all contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions based on new information.