TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:31 PM EST
Kalshi
The same Rhode Island FC versus Loudoun United FC soccer match will also be evaluated based on the margin of victory for either team, with specific thresholds defining different market resolutions.
Markets resolve based on whether Rhode Island FC or Loudoun United FC wins the match by a specified goal margin after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A win by more than 1.5 goals means at least 2 goals; more than 2.5 means at least 3 goals. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, all markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi states no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of individuals incentivized to be accurate. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Rhode Island FC match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The spread represents the difference between the prices of the two possible outcomes, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final result of the Rhode Island FC match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Rhode Island FC match against Loudoun United FC, as officially recorded by sports data providers. The market will determine which side of the spread ultimately wins, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions affecting the Rhode Island FC match could shift expectations. Unexpected performance in prior matches, coaching changes, or even public sentiment expressed on social media could also play a role. Significant betting activity on Kalshi itself can also drive price movements, as traders react to each other's actions and new information becomes incorporated into the market price.