TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a USL Championship soccer match between Rhode Island FC and Loudoun United FC on October 14, 2026. Markets exist for Rhode Island FC winning, Loudoun United FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between Rhode Island FC and Loudoun United FC.
The event determines the winner of a professional USL Championship soccer match between Rhode Island FC and Loudoun United FC scheduled for October 14, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Rhode Island FC, a win for Loudoun United FC, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the platform's guidelines. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prices for the Rhode Island FC match can vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. For example, Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders with specialized knowledge of soccer, while Kalshi could have a broader, more general audience. Differences in trading fees and market-making incentives can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—currently $73,073 overall—is not necessarily evenly distributed, leading to localized price variations.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Rhode Island FC or Loudoun United FC could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions that might affect gameplay are also potential catalysts. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or media coverage, could influence trading activity. Major betting action on either Polymarket or Kalshi could also create price movement, as traders react to perceived information advantages or shifts in market consensus.