TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$303,231,665
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,973,333,451
417,433
Markets across
39,786
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 4:31 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between RFK Akhmat Groznyi and FK Orenburg, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Orenburg match originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between RFK Akhmat Groznyi and FK Orenburg, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Orenburg match originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the probability of each exact score. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that sportsbooks have access to different information, such as team news and injuries, which might not be fully reflected in this market immediately.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact score outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The total volume traded influences the depth and liquidity of the market, impacting how easily traders can enter and exit positions.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the RFK Groznyi vs. FK Orenburg match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score reported by official sources will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential delays in official score reporting may affect the resolution timeline, but the platform will aim for a swift and accurate settlement based on the best available data. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either RFK Groznyi or FK Orenburg would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the style of play, could also move the market. Unexpected tactical decisions announced by the managers before the match, or even in-game adjustments, could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from respected football commentators could also impact the probabilities reflected in this market.