TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Copa del Rey soccer match between Reus and Barakaldo, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will secure a victory within regulation time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The market also includes a specific outcome for a tied result after regulation.
The event determines the winner of the Reus vs Barakaldo professional Copa del Rey soccer game scheduled for October 28, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Reus wins, Barakaldo wins, or the match ends in a tie. All markets resolve based on the official match result as recorded by the governing league at the conclusion of regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to Kalshi’s standard procedures. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the mispricing. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Reus vs Barakaldo match. The current top market is for Barakaldo to win in regulation time.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Reus vs Barakaldo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on which team wins the match within regulation time – any overtime or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The official result as declared by the governing sports body will be used to determine the winning contract, and payouts will be issued to contract holders accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, updates on team form, and even weather conditions could also play a role. A surprising result in a related match involving either team could also impact trader sentiment, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the likely outcome.