TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:51 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets resolve based on the margin of victory for either Republic of Korea or Uzbekistan, considering only the goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and not including extra time or penalties.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential should either Republic of Korea or Uzbekistan win the match. For Republic of Korea, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if they win by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals. For Uzbekistan, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if they win by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals. The resolution is determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with explicit exclusion of extra time or penalty phases. Each market has its own winning margin threshold, and all are subject to the same temporal constraints and exclusions.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of informed traders. However, sportsbook odds can be a useful benchmark for comparison, and significant discrepancies may present opportunities for arbitrage. It’s important to note that this market represents the collective forecast of PredictionHero users, not a direct comparison to any single sportsbook.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Uzbekistan will win by a certain margin, they will buy contracts representing that outcome, driving up the price. Conversely, selling pressure will lower prices.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Korea vs Uzbekistan match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports body, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the result has been verified.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match location or referee assignments might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and trigger price changes in this market, as traders react to new information or insights.