TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:51 AM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a football match between two national teams in an international friendly competition. It takes place on the originally scheduled date, with the outcome determined by the performance of the teams during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score during this specific period of play.
If Republic of Korea and Uzbekistan both score a goal in the Republic of Korea vs Uzbekistan Intl Friendlies match originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the Korea vs Uzbekistan match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes for both teams to score. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current probability assessment. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of the event, driven entirely by trader activity and their individual predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Republic of Korea and Uzbekistan score at least one goal during the match. The final result will be determined by official match data, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Republic of Korea or Uzbekistan would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or referee assignments might also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of both teams scoring will likely shift the price of this market.