Republic of Ireland vs. Israel - First Team to Score? Odds & Prediction Markets

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between the Republic of Ireland and Israel. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict define the same resolution criteria, timeframe, and fallback data sources, ensuring consistent market behavior.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, then Sofascore, then consensus reporting.

Core resolution logic:

The first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the outcome.
If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
Postponements result in the market remaining open until the game is completed.
Cancellations result in the market resolving to 'Neither'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with a maximum delay of 24 hours due to data sourcing.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Republic of Ireland and Israel, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Republic of Ireland" if Republic of Ireland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Israel" if Israel are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Republic of Ireland and Israel, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Republic of Ireland" if Republic of Ireland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Israel" if Israel are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks predictions on which team will score the first goal in the Republic of Ireland versus Israel match. Currently, Polymarket currently favors "Neither team to score first?" at 98, while Predict leans toward the same outcome. This reflects the consensus view of traders across both platforms regarding the likelihood of an early goal. The total volume traded across both venues is $1,344, with $1,147 changing hands in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive view of sentiment surrounding the Ireland vs. Israel first goal market.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets incorporate real-money wagers, allowing the market to dynamically adjust based on new information and changing sentiment. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more quickly incorporate factors not immediately reflected in sportsbook lines. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the Ireland vs. Israel first goal market can arise due to several factors. Differences in user base, trading volume, and risk appetite can all influence pricing. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to varying interpretations of the same information. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform can impact how quickly prices adjust to new information. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across different prediction market venues for this event.

What is the result of Republic of Ireland vs. Israel?

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